Well, now comes a team of osteoarchaeologists with a paper that takes a skeptical look at this assumption. The bones examined included the Greenwich skeleton (previously thought to be that of Le Vesconte) along with small numbers of bones found at Erebus Bay and Booth Point by Owen Beattie. The largest set of bones studied in modern times, those brought back from Ng-Lj-2 by Anne Keenleyside, have since been re-interred and were thus not available for direct study; here, they just examined images and data from the previous study.
I'm no specialist, but the basic gist of what they were looking for is fairly straightforward: The presence of damage or lesions on the bone suggestive either of haemorrhage or of bone that healed imperfectly or not at all after injury. Since scurvy inhibits bone growth and repair, either one would be evidence of its presence, while the absence of such damage, or the presence of bone that had properly healed, would be evidence of the absence of the disease.
Their overall conclusion? They found "little evidence of bony lesions consistent with evidence of the disease" and therefore suggest that "factors other than scurvy may have been the main causes of morbidity and mortality." And yet, although I have learned from friends such as William Battersby that there's a great deal to be learned by questioning the received wisdom and assumptions of past histories, I believe that this particular paper is significantly flawed, and casts very little reliable light on the question it sets out to answer.
The problems are twofold: 1) The authors rely on a variety of very uneven secondary sources as to problems with scurvy on other Arctic voyages, cherry-picking even from among these, and thus paint a deceptively optimistic picture of the success of the usual Naval regime of lemon juice; and 2) The authors do not account for the extremely small size of their sample, nor for the very limited range of sites from which the bones were recovered.
As to the first, they completely mangle the Arctic experience of Sir John Ross, mistakenly claiming that he spent four winters in the Arctic on his 1818 voyage, and treating his 1829 voyage as though it were a second one of equal duration. They are also do not mention, or are unaware, that Ross on his multi-year sojourn of 1829 received large quantities fish and fresh meat for two of those winters from his Netsilingmiut neighbors, which is almost certainly the reason for the low incidence of scurvy. They also do not look closely at multi-year expeditions, mentioning McClure and mentioning as if in passing the deaths of three of his men; casualties from other Franklin search expeditions are not mentioned at all.
Secondly, as to the sample size: they looked only at 409 bones in all. There were 129 men on the Franklin expedition, with 206 bones each -- thus 26,574 bones among them. -- so 409 bones is only 1.5% of the total. Only 105 of these bones were physically examined, less that four-tenths of one percent. All of these also come from a couple of sites on the southern coast of King William Island.
The final flaw, it seems to me, is that the writers acknowledge that it is possible that an individual could indeed be suffering from scurvy's ravages, but not show evidence of it in his bones. This makes it really impossible to extrapolate from this tiny sample anything about the prevalence of scurvy among Franklin's men. The matter surely could be further studied, but I believe that the preponderance of evidence from actual Arctic voyages of this period is that, at least in all expeditions lasting more than one winter -- with the exception of those where fresh meat was available in large quantities (Ross 1829) -- scurvy was a widespread and persisent cause of debility and death.
I have recently read the article by S. Mays et al. and agree with your concerns about the conclusions of the analysis. There is no doubt on the seriousness and competence of the osteological study, but on the extrapolation of results in view of the negligible number of bones considered. I accept the evidence that none of the probes showed the expected characteristics of scurvy, but as the authors admit, the direct and indirect evidence would at most correspond to 11-15 individuals, hence barely a substantial number to inferr that no member of the expedition suffered from the disease.
ReplyDeleteThe optimistic confidence in the old lemon juice method seems also quite unrealistic, as shown by historical evidence. Even under much more favorable conditions, scurvy has always been a problem in Artic (and non-Arctic) expeditions in the 19th century. Karl Brandes, custos of the Royal Library in Berlin, wrote a quite interesting book (“Sir John Franklin. Die Unternehmungen für seine Rettung und die nordwestliche Durchfahrt“) in 1854, giving a quite complete description of all expeditions that tried to solve the Franklin mystery prior to Dr. Rae’s discovery the same year. In this book, valuable information and original transcriptions of these expeditions can be found, and it follows that scurvy was a problem for almost all involved parties. As most of these had good logistics, we can assume that the lemon regime was not so fabulous. In any case, my personal feeling is that this contribution (after all it is an interesting piece of work) tends to generalize, as previous articles on medical aspects of the Franklin expedition have done. It is unlikely that all 129 finally perished solely as a consequence of lead poisoning, scurvy or botulism, nor that all survivors resorted to rampant cannibalism. Certainly all these facts contributed to decimate the crew and officers, as did other commonplace causes like frostbite, exhaustion and starvation. On the other hand, we have to take into account that most of these men were sailors, and therefore probably not well trained in long marches (in addition, under quite severe conditions). In addition, if, as usually assumed, Sir John Franklin really had such a magnetic personality, his death must surely have been a shock for his men, and here we find a psychological fact that could have had great importance in demoralizing the crew. And once hope is lost, survival is endangered. Remember for instance Robert Falcon Scott or those many mountaineers perished in the Himalaya being fantastically equipped.
In some sense, the fate of Franklin is like the quest for the ultimate reason for the dinosaurs’ extinction: there is always some theory claiming to have the definitive answer. But unique causes probably don’t exist, and simply reproduce our need for rationalizing fatalism.
Rutwig, many thanks indeed for your very thoughtful and well-informed comment. I agree with you that all the factors worked together, and that theories that rely on just one factor are, however attractive, almost never definitive. No one had properly anticipated what to do if the ships had to be abandoned; the most pathetic testimony comes from the improvised snow-goggles, long underwear sewn by the sailors from blankets, and shoes given home-made hobnails -- when you don't prepare for all possibilities, it matters not how well you were prepared for one ideal set of them.
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